EV Calculator

Expected value of the all-tiles strategy: deploy s ETH on every one of the 25 tiles, so you always hold a slice of the winning tile.

Inputs

Emission and jackpot default to live contract values.

Pot P

ETH

Per-tile deploy s

ETH

Jackpot J

GLD

GLD emission / round

GLD

GLD price

USD

ETH price

USD

GLD proceeds

Results per round

Your share of the winning tile: 33.33% · total spend 0.025 ETH

Gross ETH back

0.0225 ETH

≈ $67.5

ETH only (net)

-0.0025 ETH

≈ $-7.5

Net + GLD (ex-jackpot)

-0.001389 ETH

≈ $-4.17

Net + GLD + jackpot EV

-0.001211 ETH

≈ $-3.63

GLD EV / round$3.3333

Jackpot EV / round (1/625)$0.5333

Break-even pot (ex-jackpot)≈ 0.008333 ETH

Break-even GLD price (at this pot)≈ $0.225

Disclaimer: EV is a mathematical expectation under uniformity assumptions, not a promise. Actual rounds vary with other deployers' behavior, and GLD/ETH prices move. You can lose everything. 18+.